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Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.7% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 55.1% | +2.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.5% | -6.2 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charge the Soul | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kingdom's Divide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridescent Aetherstreak | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Steady Sharpshooter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |